Professor who correctly predicted 9 presidential elections weighs in on Biden vs. Trump

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Published 2024-04-30
Allan Lichtman, a distinguished professor of history at American University who has accurately predicted 9 of the last 10 presidential elections, tells CNN’s Laura Coates why he thinks President Joe Biden has an advantage in 2024 despite polling that shows him trailing former president Donald Trump.
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All Comments (21)
  • @weskarcher483
    Not to brag but I have predicted North Korea's election and have been right every time.
  • @jskipmo
    Did he really predict Trump winning in 2016? No one saw that coming.
  • @bozzab369
    The rest of the world is wondering how it could even be close..
  • @user-ho1yn6ms7y
    Great quote:”Polls are snapshots that are abused as predictors.”
  • @TheMclaujo
    Funny how he skipped over the short and long term economy bullets points?
  • I took Allan Lichtman's class at American University. Amazing Professor brilliant.
  • @i.ehrenfest349
    This doesn’t make sense. He says he was right in 2000 because Gore won the popular vote, but then he was also right in predicting trump in 2016 - when of course Clinton won the popular vote
  • Yes, the polls have been wayyy off the last couple of years. They have significantly underestimated Trump every time...😂😂
  • @saniusman5830
    I realized that the secret to making a million is saving for a better investment. I always tell myself you don't need that new Maserati or that vacation just yet. That mindset helped me make more money investing. For example last year I invested 80k in stocks and made about $246k,but guess what? I put it all back and traded again and now I am rounding up close to a million
  • @Daniel_Capital
    He says he was really correct about 2000 because of the popular vote. Yet doesn’t use the popular vote in other cases like 2016 to say he was wrong. Pure nonsense
  • Polls are the people home in the middle of the day who answer the phone for someone to talk to. I mean, WTF even answers the phone from "unknown caller" in the 21st century?
  • They're both sitting at 50% and have been basically since forever. At the end of the day it's impossible to tell. It's literally a coin toss
  • @J-dizzle2021
    Polls don't mean anything these days, in my opinion. I agree 100% with this guy.
  • @MrMuharbi
    Im from Europe, so i might not fully understand, but the fact trump has so many votere baffles me..
  • @user-no6gd1js2y
    The world just watched Trump salute while Amazing Grace played... 🤦🏽‍♀️ This prediction makes me Sooo Happy 😊
  • 0:34 I'm willing to cut him a little slack on the 2000 election since that is the third closest Presidential election in U.S. history (only behind 1876 and 1824), and he did give Al Gore the maximum number of false keys that a presidential candidate could have while still losing the election, so it really isn't that big of a failure. 1:22 And remember Dewey beat Truman. Okay, that may be a false equivalency because polling now isn't the same as it was in 1948 but it's still something to note.