Will Indonesia Join the U.S or China?

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Published 2024-03-26
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Indonesia has grown larger and more powerful since the end of the cold war, quietly becoming the biggest Economy in Southeast Asia and the fourth most populous country in the world. They have a massive military of 400,000 personnel as of 2023, the same year that they approved a 20% increase to their defense spending. Physically connecting the Indian and Pacific Ocean is the nation of Indonesia where 60% of the worlds maritime trade passes through this region. Indonesia is a major part of the 10 member Association of SouthEast Asian Nations or (AH-see-ahn) ASEAN. When combined as a whole, they rank as the fifth-largest economy with a combined population of 662 million people and a GDP of 10 trillion or 6.5% of the global GDP. They’re kind of a big deal. For context NATO has about 900 million people under their security umbrella.

So now it’s becoming more clear why both the United States and China are investing Billions of dollars competing for Indonesia's affection trying to win them over as an ally and a bestie. But We’ll see how Indonesia’s foreign policy of aggressive neutrality might be one of the biggest factors preventing war between the US and China right now. The non aligned policy of a country halfway around the world from you might prevent armageddon. How does Indonesia’s unique history explain this stance? What are the reasons Indonesia is suspicious of any potential U.S or Chinese alliance? And why are they paradoxically speeding up their military’s modernization efforts?

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All Comments (21)
  • @j.obrien4990
    If Indonesia is smart they will study how Turkey balances competing sides, if Turkey is smart it will study how Indonesia runs its economy.
  • @LV_427
    About the Indonesia proverbs... "Rice has turned into porridge" means something important has happened and it's irreversible. "There's prawn hiding behind rock" means there's ulterior motive behind sweet words and gifts "Tigers die because of their stripes" I actually haven't heard of this one. The closest one I think is "when elephant dies, it leaves tusk, when tiger dies, it leaves stripes", which means when one leaves, retires, or passes away, they would be remembered by their past achievements.
  • @natra0512
    Me as malaysian trust on indonesia foreign policy.. what good to indonesia is also good for the rest of asean..
  • Sebagai Bule tinggal di Indonesia aku senang dengan penjelaskanmu tentang sejarah dan politik modern. Sebelum Aku Pindah ke Indonesia aku melayan di tentara AS. Masalah terbasar untuk orang di sini dengan AS termasuk perang antara Israel/Palestina. Orang di sini boikot produk AS karena, “tidak mau dukung Israel”. Pemerintah kami harus berhati hati dengan langkah2 Kami di masa depan
  • @ryosaeba
    a commentary about Indonesia sprinkled with Indonesian proverbs, a surefire way to attract Indonesian like me
  • @sundanese_idn
    PANCASILA 1. Belief in the Almighty God 2. Just and civilized humanity 3. Indonesian unity 4. Democracy is led by wisdom in representative deliberations 5. Social justice for all Indonesian people This is our philosophy of life as a state.
  • @widyacanz
    As an Indonesian I admit that I’ve been worried about this for a while. I just hope we won’t engage in any war, because it’s not worth it.
  • @kokoboomi
    We indonesians have this belief system saying "having 1000 friends is too few, having one enemy is too many" and it's taught almost in every household in indonesia 🇮🇩 I guess it's well represented in our foreign affairs strategy.
  • @KarasuRaku
    3:57 thank you for using this version of painting of Penangkapan Pangeran Diponegoro or the english title is The Arest of Pangeran Diponegoro (it was painted by Raden Saleh, Indonesian painter) because dutch painter, Nicolaas Pieneman painting of Penyerahan Pangeran Diponegoro or the English title is The Submission of Prince Dipo Negoro to General De Kock, is more famous and widely use. Just little appreciation 🎉 And fun fact, even if these two painting painted the same scene but you can cleary see the perspective from Indonesian people and the dutch from that painting. For example, the title, in Indonesian perspective Pangeran Diponegoro was arrested by the Dtuch, we can see in the painting that Pangeran Diponegoro looks more brave, but in Dutch painting, it's a submissions, the way they paint Pangeran Diponegoro is look like he accept his fate to be submitted by the Dutch. There's still a lot of fun detail you can look for
  • @0o0ification
    This is an analysis that I did not expect, but was buoyed to find. Thanx for your effort and diligence
  • @jasonariola6363
    Indonesia is like Singapore , they ride both sides of the fence and deal from both sides
  • @JETFOURLITRE
    Aussie here. As a traveller and many years ago ADF reserve, theres no ill will towards Indonesia. Love my indo mates and cant wait to get back there for my next visit. Wonderful people with a great sense of humour. Im actually embarrassed by the way my own countrymen act in Bali, so I steer clear of Bali.
  • @zidstar.
    Thank you for making this video!
  • Your analysis and research on Indonesia foreign policies and its ties to our history is spot on. This is a very well researched content. I know this video is about quasi cold war 2.0 between the US and China. But I as an Indonesian personally think u can add more context in our relationship with another key player in worlds geopolitics which is the Middle East region. In which we have a very good relationship and many of our leaders have become some sort of mediator between arab states. Our relations with Middle East region alongside ASEAN and also our neutrality with US and China makes Indonesia a very strategic component in world balance. Nice Video, cheers from Indonesia!
  • Damn, Indonesia is in the position to play kingmaker and make tons of money right now, hopefully they take advantage of it and don't squander this once in a century opportunity