The Dangers of a Catastrophic Conflict between the US and Xi Jinping’s China

Published 2022-07-08
On July 7th, IPI hosted a Global Leaders Series event featuring a conversation with The Honorable Kevin Rudd on his newest book The Avoidable War: The Dangers of a Catastrophic Conflict Between the U.S. and Xi Jinping’s China. The conversation was moderated by IPI President Zeid Ra’ad Al Hussein.

All Comments (21)
  • @voo008
    A person with great wisdom and unbiased views. thanks Kevin.
  • Have to say that Kevin is one of few western leaders knows China so well.
  • I see managed strategic competition as something that is preferred by China. But the US even under a Democrat is dead set on pushing for Taiwan's independence and an ongoing trend for arms sales to Taiwan. If a Neo-con Republican is elected in 2024, the possibility of MANAGED STRATEGIC COMPETITION will not be considered. China needs peace to develop into the largest economy in the world. The US will fight to remain the TOP DOG NO MATTER WHAT HAPPENS!! The Taiwan /China civil war is good business for the US in terms of possibly weakening China, even if it leads to a forced unification of Taiwan to China and several million casualties as well as great damage.
  • @Userkzb20253
    Kevin’s assessment is very sensible and pragmatic. Though either parties will listen to his advice and render it a foreign policy as both sides want to look tough and crush China’s rise — it’s now or never. Probably never is almost if not already here. This the most dangerous time in humanity as China and Russia and others are forming pact to confront US and it’s allies. Thank you Mr. Rudd for your efforts to find practical and peaceful solutions.
  • @scottkleyla7752
    Thats all well and good on "Mothership Earth" if the current systems are sustainable.
  • @mikomako641
    The Americans and not the Chinese tested chemical weapons in Vietnam. The Americans killed civilians there for 20 years and no one cared at the time. There is no need to hide behind the current fictitious culprit, but it is necessary to look at the recent history of who harmed whom and how.
  • Dear Kevin and all IPI learned scholars, All nations in the Asian Pacific Region (APR) are keen to live in peace because they are all very hopeful for their future and they want to get a better life. Peace is undoubtedly the most important element for ensuring that. I hope our Australian friends understand with its strategic location and close association with US, Australia is the most important peace maker in the APR. It's moves affect every body. We all know if we want peace, we have to avoid conflicts. However, as the rise of China posts enormous economic threats to United States, it is taking all kind of measures to containing the development China. At the same time, it is pulling Australia along to pursuit such a goal. This will generate conflicts which is totally against the wish of all APR countries. Does the rise of China post similar threat to Australia? The answer is negative. China as well as all APR countries will continue to relying on Australia for its future development. Their continuous development will generate more benefit to Australia. Besides, continuous development in the APR is irreversible. These are simple facts. If Australia takes the lead to institute peace talks and peace programs, it will get support from all countries in the APR. And all of us will remember the goodness of Australians. I always see Australia as a good, trust worthy, important independent nation instead of just an ally to the BIG BROTHER.
  • @andrewmah5605
    The Anglo Quad Man ! Try finding the Native Aboriginal !
  • @kennethkong5484
    Rudd, a China hater , shows you that he speaks Chinese . Does that make him a China expert. Kishore Mahbubani, distinguished scholar and intellectual, says Kevin Rudd gets it wrong about China
  • God bless America and may she shine above the ignorant foreva.
  • @derekshaw8050
    A Kevin Rudd speech and no CCP bot comments yet, nice 👍
  • @arjalanarayan
    I,old,endgame,to,toGive,up,to ,Chin,Indian, PhD,Working,Enjy
  • @MsOpineminded
    This is wholly stoked by US. China would prefer a peaceful reunification with Taiwan. It is Taiwan's largest trading partner. It does not benefit China to have war anywhere in the world since it is the largest trading partner of most countries including until recently Ukraine. White men keep coming onto the show with tinted glasses. The rest of the world sees things very differently. the rest of the world sees a flailing West and a US which prefers to sow conflict in Taiwan just as it did in Ukraine using Taiwanese and Ukrainians as proxies and sacrificial lambs. This Thucydides trap bullshit with China is frankly a US self fulfilling prophecy. Beware of what you wish for. US purports a belligerent China when China has not fired a shot across its border or invaded any neighbours for the last 4 decades. contrast what the US has done in that span of time leaving a wake of destruction for others to pick up from Afghanistan to Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Libya and now Ukraine. Peaceful rise for China has in fact already happened. The US spends $800B on defense and yet cannot protect 1 million of its own most vulnerable citizens form a simple virus. Contrast what China did building hospitals within ten days locking down trusting science. West is full of themselves and their arrogance is their downfall. China's nuclear holdings pale in comparison to US. China adheres to NO FIRST USE policy not the US. US hasn't even signed UNCLOS but it prefers to preach Freedom of Navigation. No surprise the West has missed a tectonic shift in recent months following their own debacle in Ukraine as India has pivoted to SCO and BRICS along with many other emerging countries. China is an opportunity to them. It provides a separate engine for growth where previously the developing world were stuck in Western debt trap and dictate. it will surprise many in the West that most of Africa's crippling debt is actually held by Western institutions not China. The West prefers to imagine certain countries as partners like Japan and India. Japan is adept at saying things US prefers to hear. But like Taiwan and most countries in the world, China is its number one trading partner. fact is you do not become a trusted number one trading partner world wide if you don't obviously deliver on promises. China delivers. It does not deviate from agreements. Its Foreign policy has been clear and when they find agreement (which they have for 13 of their 14 land border neigbours) they stick to it. It is the US that has become over last 3 regimes unpredictable and untrustworthy making foreign policy U turns with every administration or even within and administration performing double talk with actions not following words like in Taiwan recently. Who is the real liability in the region? India realised its folly attempting to ride the US tiger to confront China on outstanding border issues when first the US abandoned Afghanistan yet another of its allies like it did Vietnam before, leaving India in a security lurch. Next it realised its membership to the lame anyway Quadriplegic alliance did not mean access to the old boy's White Men Only Angloid AUKUS. Finally it realised it could be next to be besmeared by the US and West when it grew big enough when the Biden regime preferred to stupidly ape the Trump weaponization of the US dollar. India subsequently has pivoted back to SCO with Russia and China as well as to BRICS. The West continues to beggar belief framing China as a threat when they are the ones actually creating hacking virus like Stuxnet or putting back doors in devices eaves dropping on allies like Merkel in Germany. Yet somehow the allegations are Huawei is the threat. Somehow China is blamed for unproven wildly hyperbolic estimates of concentration camps and Uyghurs when the West prefers to turn a blind eye to Kashmiris virtual prisoners in their own state incidentally a disputed territory or say Palestinians with the vibrant democracy of Israel electing to practise apartheid to no censure from the US. As a Chilean retired diplomat quibbed recently, when China visit Latin America they talk trade and investment. When the US comes they like to tell us about a China threat. The West believes its own bullshit bc its an echo chamber. It makes false assumptions, prefers to understand others only in their context make ludicrous judgements.
  • @oceanbreeze89
    Kevin Rudd is a very selfish politician. He totally ignores Taiwan’s 23.5 million people’s interests but cares so much about an aggressor’s feelings.
  • @MsOpineminded
    White man listening to White man. Kevin Rudd speaks Chinese but does not understand Chinese.😆