The Truth About Human Population Decline | Jennifer D. Sciubba | TED

544,747
0
2023-10-03に共有
With birth rates falling, the worldwide human population is getting older and smaller. According to traditional thinking, this spells a future of labor shortages, bankrupt social security systems and overall economic collapse. Before you panic about the end of life as we know it, political demographer Jennifer D. Sciubba has a thoughtful playbook for managing the new normal – including ideas on the future of work and migration – and a reminder that a resilient future relies on present-day action.

If you love watching TED Talks like this one, become a TED Member to support our mission of spreading ideas: ted.com/membership

Follow TED!
Twitter: twitter.com/TEDTalks
Instagram: www.instagram.com/ted
Facebook: facebook.com/TED
LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/ted-conferences
TikTok: www.tiktok.com/@tedtoks

The TED Talks channel features talks, performances and original series from the world's leading thinkers and doers. Subscribe to our channel for videos on Technology, Entertainment and Design — plus science, business, global issues, the arts and more. Visit TED.com/ to get our entire library of TED Talks, transcripts, translations, personalized talk recommendations and more.

Watch more: go.ted.com/jenniferdsciubba

   • The Truth About Human Population Decl...  

TED's videos may be used for non-commercial purposes under a Creative Commons License, Attribution–Non Commercial–No Derivatives (or the CC BY – NC – ND 4.0 International) and in accordance with our TED Talks Usage Policy: www.ted.com/about/our-organization/our-policies-te…. For more information on using TED for commercial purposes (e.g. employee learning, in a film or online course), please submit a Media Request at media-requests.ted.com/

#TED #TEDTalks #population

コメント (21)
  • @Anuchan
    To have people work longer in life, we need better health care. There shouldn't be medical bankruptcies or fulltime jobs that don't pay a livable wage.
  • @TheKrispyfort
    Time to rethink our economies instead of birth rates
  • @TobyOHara
    I think the important part of this message is starting around 6:12 accepting the inevitable and planning for it. Economists and other policy makers should stop thinking about infinite growth and start thinking about what is possible with what we know. I also appreciate the blink-and-you-miss-it suggestion that we look at how we consume. Consumerism needs to change in every way. For those who are interested, Kate Raworth's book, 'Donut Economics' has a lot of ideas that have since been further developed many of which work well. The city of Amsterdam has adopted a donut model, to measure how well each person is looked after, within the donut framework.
  • @switch2324
    This feels like a disconnected HR meeting trying to convince everyone to knuckle down and keep working! "Come on guys, we're in this together!" F off
  • @goober-ll1wx
    Humanity has a zero per cent track record for "sensible planning ahead" We will just carry on until all the oil is gone.
  • @rikker5251
    In the US we paid into social security to provide for our old age, and if it would have been invested and left alone the money would be available for retirement. But, the politicians had access to our social security, and used it for their needs not for ours.
  • @chrisk283
    Increasing the retirement age is a blunt instrument of very little value globally. What do you do with all the people who have only ever done physically demanding work? I’m also surprised that she got through her talk without putting automation and AI at centre stage. Those factors combined with a huge rethink of how corporations contribute back to society and how that contribution is distributed will be vitally important.
  • The stupidest thing about humanity is that it feels it has to always increase everything. Profits are supposed to increase more each and every year. Everybody thinks they’re supposed to have as many babies as they want. It’s a shame that human beings cannot just live sustainably, but I always have to have more and more and more .
  • I am 63 and disabled, I work nearly 27 years but got incredibly ill 2 years before reaching retirement age, doctors said I was done working and would be lucky to stay alive. Well they where right I died but got better😂, still is funny to say that. But over the next ten years I have got better and can work but not enough to support myself, catch 22 there. I was a project manager for the Transportation Cabinet so knowledge is still there I just can't deal with 60-70 hour weeks, its what got me in the condition I ended up in.
  • @tonywyli
    Isn't It great that we have less and less people? We don't have to compete for resources any more.
  • @allenaxp6259
    Robots can play a role in addressing the challenges posed by an aging population in several ways: Labor shortages: Robots can help to fill labor shortages by automating tasks that are currently performed by humans. This can be particularly helpful in industries that are struggling to find workers, such as healthcare, manufacturing, and agriculture. Strained social security systems: Robots can help to reduce the strain on social security systems by increasing productivity and reducing the need for government spending on things like healthcare and long-term care. Economic challenges: Robots can help to boost the economy by creating new jobs, increasing productivity, and driving innovation. As robotics technology continues to develop, we can expect to see even more innovative ways to use robots to address the challenges of an aging population.
  • @momoca-kun
    There are too many people in this world, and very few with humanity
  • @aveneyer
    9:07 - Paraphrased, 65-74 year old's are a "vast untapped resource" in a resilient world. Our system already has this built in as a feature instead of a bug. Sorry, but I don't want to build a world where our elderly have to continue to work until they die.
  • @oorahcrazydog
    People are less inclined to have babies when the future is uncertain. This isn't the baby boom era. Houses are way more expensive. Cars are way more expensive. Even groceries are way more expensive.
  • @bikebudha01
    when I graduated from high school, there were 4 billion humans. There are now 8 billion humans. 4 extra billion humans in less than 1 lifetime... That's way way way too many humans.
  • @theicyridge
    Dear lord. Her solution is we work longer and compete for talent? Can we please have a non-neoliberal address this?
  • @porkyrabbit
    The wolves are upset the sheep aren’t reproducing
  • @SeaScoutDan
    History lesson, in Europe the Black Death ended serfdom and started the Renaissance and innovation. Yes, the current elder care is built on a piramid scheme, lets focus on that and innovative. What is really important is per-person GDP, not total GDP.
  • My wife and I chose not to have children. We are hoping to retire at 55-60. Someday we will purchase/hire (depending on how sentient it is) an android nurse to take care of us. Working until you are 70-75 is bullishit. Don't fall for it.