The Truth About Human Population Decline | Jennifer D. Sciubba | TED

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2023-10-03に共有
With birth rates falling, the worldwide human population is getting older and smaller. According to traditional thinking, this spells a future of labor shortages, bankrupt social security systems and overall economic collapse. Before you panic about the end of life as we know it, political demographer Jennifer D. Sciubba has a thoughtful playbook for managing the new normal – including ideas on the future of work and migration – and a reminder that a resilient future relies on present-day action.

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コメント (21)
  • @porkyrabbit
    The wolves are upset the sheep aren’t reproducing
  • @Anuchan
    To have people work longer in life, we need better health care. There shouldn't be medical bankruptcies or fulltime jobs that don't pay a livable wage.
  • @TobyOHara
    I think the important part of this message is starting around 6:12 accepting the inevitable and planning for it. Economists and other policy makers should stop thinking about infinite growth and start thinking about what is possible with what we know. I also appreciate the blink-and-you-miss-it suggestion that we look at how we consume. Consumerism needs to change in every way. For those who are interested, Kate Raworth's book, 'Donut Economics' has a lot of ideas that have since been further developed many of which work well. The city of Amsterdam has adopted a donut model, to measure how well each person is looked after, within the donut framework.
  • @TheKrispyfort
    Time to rethink our economies instead of birth rates
  • The stupidest thing about humanity is that it feels it has to always increase everything. Profits are supposed to increase more each and every year. Everybody thinks they’re supposed to have as many babies as they want. It’s a shame that human beings cannot just live sustainably, but I always have to have more and more and more .
  • @oorahcrazydog
    People are less inclined to have babies when the future is uncertain. This isn't the baby boom era. Houses are way more expensive. Cars are way more expensive. Even groceries are way more expensive.
  • @switch2324
    This feels like a disconnected HR meeting trying to convince everyone to knuckle down and keep working! "Come on guys, we're in this together!" F off
  • I am 63 and disabled, I work nearly 27 years but got incredibly ill 2 years before reaching retirement age, doctors said I was done working and would be lucky to stay alive. Well they where right I died but got better😂, still is funny to say that. But over the next ten years I have got better and can work but not enough to support myself, catch 22 there. I was a project manager for the Transportation Cabinet so knowledge is still there I just can't deal with 60-70 hour weeks, its what got me in the condition I ended up in.
  • My wife and I chose not to have children. We are hoping to retire at 55-60. Someday we will purchase/hire (depending on how sentient it is) an android nurse to take care of us. Working until you are 70-75 is bullishit. Don't fall for it.
  • There are too many people on this planet. Hands down! The only people who say we need more people are the 1% who need more workers. In my area alone there are 33% more people than there was 40 years ago. Pollution, loss of arable land, and congestion ate rampant. Worst of all is the decline of our public schools. Too many people, not enough rules.
  • @goober-ll1wx
    Humanity has a zero per cent track record for "sensible planning ahead" We will just carry on until all the oil is gone.
  • @aveneyer
    9:07 - Paraphrased, 65-74 year old's are a "vast untapped resource" in a resilient world. Our system already has this built in as a feature instead of a bug. Sorry, but I don't want to build a world where our elderly have to continue to work until they die.
  • Call me crazy BUT a world with less people sounds like an AWESOME one; less people means LESS traffic, LESS pollution, MORE housing, HIGHER wages because of the "lack" of workers...UNFORTUNATELY nothing will be done to solve this upcoming "crisis", humanity and politicians in particular have a tendency to hide their heads in the sand, I feel so sorry for my nephews and nieces who will be the ones to clean up this mess...
  • @rikker5251
    In the US we paid into social security to provide for our old age, and if it would have been invested and left alone the money would be available for retirement. But, the politicians had access to our social security, and used it for their needs not for ours.
  • @charlyzzz
    "in a resilient world we compete for talent" What? No. This is narrow thinking. In a resilient world people can afford to live where they are and don't have to move to have a good life.
  • @momoca-kun
    There are too many people in this world, and very few with humanity
  • @chrisk283
    Increasing the retirement age is a blunt instrument of very little value globally. What do you do with all the people who have only ever done physically demanding work? I’m also surprised that she got through her talk without putting automation and AI at centre stage. Those factors combined with a huge rethink of how corporations contribute back to society and how that contribution is distributed will be vitally important.
  • @bikebudha01
    when I graduated from high school, there were 4 billion humans. There are now 8 billion humans. 4 extra billion humans in less than 1 lifetime... That's way way way too many humans.